Strength of Schedule: 2013 Mid-Season Review

By Kevin Kelley -
Georgia Bulldogs

Georgia has played the toughest schedule so far in 2013. (Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports)

Most FBS teams have played six games already, which means we’ve reached the mid-point of the 2013 college football season. Let’s review the strength of schedule rankings (SOS) as they stand now.

There are several sources for strength of schedule, including five of the six BCS computer components and the NCAA itself (Peter Wolfe’s BCS rankings come out on Oct. 20). Note that these rankings are for strength of schedule to date and will differ from preseason rankings.

For comparison purposes, we will use Phil Steele’s preseason strength of schedule rankings. Click the title to view the complete rankings for each source:

Preseason Strength of Schedule Rankings

Phil Steele

  1. Florida
  2. Oklahoma
  3. California
  4. Purdue
  5. Arkansas
  1. Iowa State
  2. Colorado
  3. Stanford
  4. Kentucky
  5. Kansas

The Florida Gators, currently 4-2 and ranked 22nd in the AP Poll, topped Phil Steele’s preseason list. Florida has already faced two AP Top Ten teams in Miami (FL) and LSU, and the Gators lost to both on the road. UF travels to No. 14 Missouri this weekend and later plays No. 15 Georgia, No. 11 South Carolina, and No. 5 Florida State.

Mid-Season Strength of Schedule Rankings

NCAA (vs. FBS & FCS, games played only)

  1. Georgia
  2. Utah
  3. Washington
  4. Virginia
  5. West Virginia
  1. Ole Miss
  2. Indiana
  3. California
  4. Mississippi State
  5. Tennessee

This NCAA ranking is based solely on the winning percentage of past opponents. Georgia’s past opponent’s (Clemson, South Carolina, North Texas, LSU, Tennessee, and Missouri) have a combined 29 wins and eight losses. Utah’s past opponents (Utah State, Weber State, Oregon State, BYU, UCLA, and Stanford) have 23 wins and 14 losses.

Conference breakdown: SEC (4), Pac-12 (3), ACC (1), Big 12 (1), Big Ten (1)

NCAA (vs. FBS & FCS, games played and future games)

  1. Virginia
  2. California
  3. Tennessee
  4. Utah
  5. Arizona State
  1. Georgia
  2. Indiana
  3. Purdue
  4. Florida
  5. Stanford

This NCAA ranking is based solely on the winning percentage of past opponents and future opposition. Virginia’s opponents have 38 wins and 15 losses. California’s opponents have 36 wins and 15 losses. As you can see, Georgia’s schedule becomes less difficult as the season progresses.

Conference breakdown: Pac-12 (4), SEC (3), ACC (1), Big Ten (2)

Anderson & Hester (BCS)

  1. Georgia
  2. California
  3. Kentucky
  4. Ole Miss
  5. Pittsburgh
  1. Florida
  2. Utah
  3. LSU
  4. Stanford
  5. North Carolina

Anderson & Hester’s strength of schedule rankings are led by the SEC with five teams. The Pac-12 follows with three and the ACC with two. Georgia has the toughest schedule, just as they did in the NCAA’s rankings for games already played.

Conference breakdown: SEC (5), Pac-12 (3), ACC (2)

Colley Matrix (BCS)

  1. Georgia
  2. California
  3. Boston College
  4. FCS Group 3
  5. Ole Miss
  1. Kentucky
  2. North Carolina
  3. FCS Group 12
  4. FCS Group 6
  5. Pittsburgh

Georgia tops the strength of schedule rankings in the Colley Matrix. California is second, as they are in Anderson & Hester. Coming in third is Boston College, who deson’t appear on any of the other strength of schedule rankings. See Colley’s site for an explanation of FCS Groupings.

Conference breakdown: SEC (3), ACC (3), Pac-12 (1)

Jeff Sagarin (BCS)

  1. Georgia
  2. Ole Miss
  3. Kentucky
  4. California
  5. Colorado
  1. SMU
  2. Washington
  3. North Carolina
  4. Utah
  5. Texas

Jeff Sagarin also has the Georgia Bulldogs ranked first. Ole Miss comes in second and is actually ranked in the Top 5 of each computer ranking. Ole Miss (3-3, 1-3 SEC) has faced Vanderbilt, SE Missouri State, Texas, No. 1 Alabama, No. 24 Auburn, and No. 7 Texas A&M.

Conference breakdown: SEC (3), Pac-12 (4), AAC (1), ACC (1), Big 12 (1)

Kenneth Massey (BCS)

  1. Georgia
  2. Ole Miss
  3. Florida
  4. Washington
  5. Utah
  1. LSU
  2. Texas A&M
  3. South Carolina
  4. Stanford
  5. Kentucky

Georgia also tops the strength of schedule rankings in the Colley Matrix. That gives the Bulldogs the toughest schedule in four of the six BCS computer rankings. Massey heavily favors SEC teams, as seven are ranked in the Top 10. The other three spots belong to the Pac-12.

Conference breakdown: SEC (7), Pac-12 (3)

Billingsley Rankings

  1. Ole Miss
  2. Georgia
  3. LSU
  4. Kentucky
  5. Utah
  1. California
  2. Washington
  3. Kent State
  4. Purdue
  5. Arkansas

Billingsley is the only computer ranking that does not have Georgia first. Ole Miss is first here, followed by Georgia, LSU, Kentucky, and Utah. Kent State is ranked 8th here, and they are the only MAC team to appear in any of the current Top 10 rankings.

Conference breakdown: SEC (5), Pac-12 (3), Big Ten (1), MAC (1)

Looking at each of the rankings, it’s clear that Georgia has played the toughest schedule so far in 2013. The Bulldogs are first in five rankings (NCAA – games played, Anderson & Hester, Colley Matrix, Jeff Sagarin, and Kenneth Massey). UGA’s 2013 schedule was ranked 23rd in Phil Steele’s preseason rankings.

SEC teams also have played the toughest schedules so far according to the rankings. They are listed first in each BCS computer rankings and the NCSS method for games played. The SEC is second in the NCAA method for games played plus future games.

Follow FBSchedules.com on Facebook, Twitter, and Google+Subscribe via Email
Categories: NCAA, Strength of Schedule

One Comment to Strength of Schedule: 2013 Mid-Season Review

  1. Chili Dogg said....

    I respect Phil Steele, and I am not a Georgia fan, but how did he NOT have UGA in the top 10 in his pre-season poll of most difficult schedules?

    October 31, 2013 at 1:57 pm

Leave a Reply