College Football Teams Playing the Most Winning Opponents in 2014

By Amy Daughters -
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Notre Dame plays 10 opponents that had winning records in 2013. (Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports)

Though teams can control certain aspects of their schedules, they can’t control how well an opponent played last season.

For instance, who knew in January of 2013 when Penn State scheduled a home-and home with UCF that the Knights would transform from a 5-7 squad in 2011 to their 12-1 form in 2013?

Programs which draw a higher percentage of winning teams from the previous season hold a double-edged sword. On one hand they have a more difficult road to bowl eligibility or a title than their counterparts, while on the flip side they have the upper hand in the ongoing argument of strength of schedule.

Following are the nine programs which play the most winning FBS opponents from a year ago. It’s a hidden scheduling twist that makes one team’s 8-4 finish way different than another’s 8-4 campaign.

Nine Winning Opponents

North Carolina

The Tar Heels will only face two opponents this season that didn’t manage to break the .500 mark a year ago, Virginia (2-10) and NC State (3-9). Their other nine FBS foes combined for a 79-38 (68%) record in 2013. Throwing out its game with FCS Liberty, North Carolina will play 82% of its games this season against winning teams.

Utah

The Utes’ bid for their first winning season since 2011 will be made more difficult by facing nine winning teams from last season. The only losing squads on Utah’s schedule are Washington State (6-7) and Colorado (4-8). The other FBS teams combined for 85-35 (71%) record last season.

Indiana

Indiana’s only 2014 opponents that finished under .500 in 2013 are Rutgers (6-7) and Purdue (1-11). Its other nine FBS foes—including Missouri (12-2), Michigan State (13-1) and Ohio State (12-2)—combined for an 85-35 (71%) record last season.

Rutgers

Rutgers’ move from the American Atlantic to the Big Ten in 2014 includes a schedule with only two losing teams from a year ago—Washington State (6-7) and Indiana (5-7). It’s remaining nine FBS opponents combined for an 80-38 (68%) record in 2013.

Tennessee

Another team looking to improve in 2014, Tennessee’s only losing foes this season are Florida (4-8) and Kentucky (2-10). To put this into perspective, the Vols have only dropped one game—in 29 tries—to the Wildcats since 1985, but haven’t knocked off the Gators since 2004. The balance of Tennessee’s nine FBS opponents combined for an 87-32 (73%) record last season.

Ten Winning Opponents

Miami (Fla.)

Of the Hurricanes’ 11 FBS opponents in 2014, only one—Virginia (2-10)—didn’t break .500 last season. That’s 91 percent of the FBS games coming against winning teams. Miami’s other 10 FBS foes hooked up for a 91-41 (69%) record last season.

Virginia

The Cavaliers will try to improve on their 6-18 record from 2012-2013 by playing 10 winning FBS opponents in 2014. Virginia’s only foe with a losing record this season is 4-8 Kent State. The balance of its FBS slate went 92-40 (70%) last season, including UCLA (10-3), Louisville (12-1) and Florida State (14-0).

Arkansas

Just slightly better off than Virginia, Arkansas has posted a 7-17 record since 2012. The Razorbacks’ sole losing foe in 2014 is 2-10 UAB. The other ten FBS opponents—including Auburn (12-2), Northern Illinois (12-2), Alabama (11-2), LSU (10-3) and Missouri (12-2)—combined for 97-36 (73%) record last season.

Notre Dame

Though lots can be said about the freedom Notre Dame has as an independent scheduler, what can’t be denied is its propensity to book quality opponents. The Irish actually have two losing teams from last season on this year’s slate—Purdue (1-11) and Northwestern (5-7)—but since they don’t schedule FCS opponents they still play 10 winning FBS teams this season. Those 10 foes combined for a 97-38 (72%) record in 2013. Included in the roll call are Stanford (11-3), Florida State (14-0), Arizona State (10-4), Louisville (12-1) and USC (10-4).

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Categories: NCAA

10 Comments to College Football Teams Playing the Most Winning Opponents in 2014

  1. David said....

    Well, no one can argue this year that Notre Dame’s schedule strength will be weak like it was the year they were in the NC game vs. Alabama.

    June 13, 2014 at 7:08 pm
    • JackStriker said....

      “Though teams can control certain aspects of their schedules, they can’t control how well an opponent played last season.”

      Try again after you pass Reading Comp. Any schedule that has Okl., USC, Stanford, Miami, Mich. State and Michigan would be considered daunting at the beginning of any season….As compared to……LSU, Auburn and oh, yeah, no one else that finished above 8-4 in the regular season in addition to Western Carolina, So. Miss and Florida Atlantic…….Douche bag….

      June 14, 2014 at 8:59 am
    • Jamie said....

      When it comes to Notre Dame there will ALWAYS be someone arguing that they play a “weak” schedule. That is because when Notre Dame is involved many people tend to let blind hatred overwhelm their capacity for rational thought.

      June 15, 2014 at 3:02 pm
    • Atlanta_Mafia said....

      Really Jamie?! I think that it is pretty much the ND fans that are hateful arrogant people.

      June 16, 2014 at 10:08 am
    • Bill said....

      I went to my first Notre Dame game a couple of years ago and I loved it. I would encourage anyone to go. If his health allows it, I will take with my Godfather to see his first Notre Dame game this season. I saw them play the year they made it to the national championship. They played Brigham Young and in the middle of the 3rd quarter, the man next to me said “I have never understood the hatred towards these two teams.” An older man directly behind us quipped “Me neither, both win tons of games, have their own TV networks and refuse to play in a conference. Hell, What’s not to like?”
      I would encourage anyone to go, their fans are witty, kind and a real hoot.
      Bill

      June 17, 2014 at 1:31 am
    • JackStriker said....

      David is still a douche bag………..

      July 31, 2014 at 12:56 pm
  2. Ricky W said....

    OT… looking forward to 2015 schedule, are the games below a possibility?:

    9/5:
    Syracuse @ Mizzo
    Tulane @ ULM
    Charlotte @ KY

    9/12:
    ULL @ NC
    KY @ UCF

    9/19:
    UConn @ Alabama
    Vand @ Arizona
    Army @ Stanford
    Houston @ San Diego St

    10/3:
    Penn St – Mizzo (Neutral)
    Miss St @ NC St
    Army @ USF
    SMU @ Texas St

    June 13, 2014 at 8:22 pm
  3. JC said....

    Say what you want about Notre Dame but 10 of their opponents are in P5 conferences and the other 2 are decent programs especially Navy. It’s going to be a tough season for them.

    June 14, 2014 at 4:06 pm
  4. cfbtrivia (@cfbtrivia) said....

    I’m not saying this is not worthwhile information, I just want to point out the flip side of the coin. While playing tougher teams does make it tougher to become bowl eligible, teams who are included as a tough opponent for this list, may or may not have played a tough schedule to become a “winning team”.

    Breaking it down further, Virginia’s 10 “winning opponents”, had to play 77 FBS “winning opponents” to get to their winning record, while Notre Dame’s only played 56, Miami’s 58, and Arkansas’ 62. If we use the same measure, it would seem that Virginia’s opponents had a tougher road to become “winning opponents” than some of the other teams. Ultimately, it’s as imperfect a measure as any, though, but interesting.

    FWIW, North Carolina’s winning opponents went 79-39, not 79-38. Tennessee’s went 87-33, not 87-32. Miami’s 91-42, not 91-41.

    June 19, 2014 at 2:05 pm

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