“It’s both a justification and an excuse.”
Yep, What’s the point of Houston playing an Oklahoma, winning by 10, going undefeated the rest of the season, winning they’re conference & conference championship & not making it to the CFP? It really depends on how (if) Oklahoma can run the table, how they win their games, scores, did they struggle…etc. The eye ball test will play a big factor in this at the end of the season, if Houston can beat their opponents by 30+ a game & beat a very good Louisville team, they still have to over come the other conference champions & favoritism from the Bama’s, Sooners, Clemson…etc, fans that will travel like the article says but if the Cougars loses then it is over for them anyways.
Excuse me………………..the Buckeyes will take the seat you are talking about.
It won’t matter. Oklahoma will have more than one loss before the season is over.
The question is would a 12-0 Houston get in over a 12-1 Stanford, Washington, Florida State, Michigan, say Georgia or take your pick from Baylor/Oklahoma/Texas/TCU winning the Big 12.
The answer is no. Houston’s SOS require OU to run the table and Louisville to be a 10 game winner, and for the SOS of all those P5 to be well below norm. That wont happen. The SOS will kill UH as will the lack of quality opponents. And even if they manage to be 3rd or 4th in the polls the committee and computers will push UH to the 5th slot.
The entire system is designed to lock out a hot G5 school like Boise State under Petersen (now UW coach) or Houston under Herman (who’s P5 coach will he be in January?). That wont change.
1. Let’s take one week at a time. Houston has not yet gone 12-0. In fact, at this point, they’re far away from that goal.
2. I’d could successfully be argued that every single AAC team is better than Kansas. It could also be argued that at least 8 of them are better than Iowa State.
3. I’d take more stock in this article if it wasn’t authored by a Big XII team supporter.
“First, the Sooners will play five times, think about that, five times more Power opponents than will the Cougars. If both teams are playing at the same level, it means, theoretically, that Oklahoma has a five times greater chance of losing in 10 of the 12 weeks than does Houston.”
So every P5 school is 2x as difficult as every G5 team? Gimmie a break. Yes, they’re in no question.
yes, to a 13-0 Houston team being above Oklahoma in the CFP….but not over a 5 loss SEC squad….
I’d say the committee can say the same thing they said before. Houston, you won a Conference Championship Game. That’s an extra data point. The XII doesn’t have a conference championship game, and that matters.
Thought-provoking article; well done. Long way to go though.
One thing to think of is the human element. While the stats regarding SOS may back up your point, the committee may take Houston instead due to the critical backlash (and potential political backlash) that would occur in this scenario. Remember that when Utah was left out of the BCS, Senator Orin Hatch got involved to press the case which eventually led to changes in G5 access. With the committee now in place, do they risk a similar situation.
Head-to-head win should have much more weight.
Indeed Yang, a better what if scenario would be a conference champion Texas with one loss vs. an undefeated Houston. Who goes then, when there’s no head to head?
cougars draw a crowd of 35000 to 45000. I think they will get in but I am reasonable sure this won’t do this, this year. What does 2017-18 schedule look like?
Sorry, no. If Houston is perfect and Oklahoma lost to Houston, Houston should go and Oklahoma should learn to take their non-conference games more seriously.
schedule doesn’t matter as much as head to head takes care of it…And this is biased. Power 5 team doesn’t automatically mean good. There were 5 teams ranked in the top 25 from the AAC last year. That doesn’t come easy as voters always want teams to prove it if your from the G5 (unlike teams like Florida who get gifted rankings). By the end of the Year USF will also be ranked and high too so that’s another ranked opponent Houston faces. No way Oklahoma hops Houston (assuming Houston goes undefeated and OK runs the table).
ou should end up with at least 3 loses…..Houston, Ohio St and TEXAS….so none of this will be an issue
Don’t think your plan accounted for Louisville crushing FSU 63-20. If both remain undefeated UofH can knock off 2 top 5 opponents. That should be plenty to give them a much deserved shot at the playoffs.
Awesome! So glad to see Temple continuing to schedule strong!
Temple could join the Big 12 soon
Nice to see these two playing each other again.
Consider that OU used to play Texas as an OOC every year. That they restore an OOC series with Nebraska simply puts their schedule back where it used to be.
’bout time! Great move………now, need the Aggies and ‘Horns to get back to the table.
Aggies will never schedule a matchup against Texas. The SEC hardly ever wants to travel for an away game. But if they do, it will be the only power 5 non-conference game they play, totaling just 9 power 5 games.
Roll Tide Roll
How many user names are you going to use?
Alabama never does true road games OOC. Most of the SEC does
Because of the neutral-site conference game with Arkansas, A&M can only play non-conference road games in odd-numbered years and still have seven home games. They’ve already scheduled games for 2017 (at UCLA), 2019 (at Clemson), 2021 (at Colorado) and 2025 (at Notre Dame).
Texas wants to a play a more national schedule, and if they play a home-and-home with A&M, they end up with nine or ten games in the state of Texas. They would rather play at USC, at Ohio State and at Michigan.
Conceptually, they could play a home-and-home in 2023 (at Texas) and 2015 (at A&M), but I think the administrations of both schools have simply moved on.
I agree Kevin, I caught onto it a long time ago, he just sounds stupid & pathetic! Does he not know that the Aggies are based out of Texas? So technically how is that the Aggies would be traveling anywhere, their already in the same state. Meanwhile Bama just won a national championship & he is the only bama fan who is bashing the SEC with his garbage about 9 game conference & OOC games. All the Bama fans I know are celebrating & enjoying the championship, Roll Tide, just give it up! You are no Bama fan, just someone that sounds lonely with all your other accounts as well, sad.
What, Is roll tide the new Maverick or something??? I don’t get it.
we will proba lt be dead by then
Great matchup for both teams. Let’s hope Tulane can get to a place where they can win one or two before these games happen.
Who knows by the time the 2021 game comes around ,Tulane along with Cincinnati, could be part of the Big 12 Conference. Still have to believe the Big 12 is looking for and speaking to schools about making their conference whole (12) again. These two mentioned schools in many regards make a lot of sense (tv markets, recruiting in two important states for high school football, and finding something closer for West Virginia).
I think Memphis has to be considered on the Big 12’s list too. Better overall sports program than Tulane and a much larger school.
I was curious when your Pac-12 and Mtn West helmet schedules might be out? Not trying to be pushy, it’s just I love your guys helmet schedule.
Next week or so hopefully!
Sweet thanks Kevin! You do a amazing job.
Let’s see if Stoops will be around for this game. His seat is getting warm.
Seriously Greg? Coach Stoops just took the Sooners to the playoff and is favored to win the Big 12 and return to the playoff and contend for a National Championship. How, pray tell does that and his entire performance as one of the winningest coaches at one of the winningest programs of all time make his seat warm? Either you’re an Oklahoma Sooner hater or you’re high as a kite!…..#OUDNA
Resume the Battle of the Bell and play Southern Miss – especially since they are bad now and Tulane has a good chance at winning!
Bad now??? 2015 CUSA title. What does Tulane have? I’ll tell you what, a 3-9 participation trophy
schedule up sooners!
Sooners are going to get a beat down!